Im a new user that has been following Axis Power for a while with the youtube and free forum posts over the last years - and was very thankful to find the June 2022 video on Bonetracker which has led me to develop this new strategy that needs testing...
I have been rolling the dice for around 7 years but only manage to hit the real casino once or twice a year and the rest of the time was practicing or playing with friends on my home table - but BoneTracker was a complete game changer in keeping track and actually making me work towards a purpose.
I have a vegas trip coming up 11-15 June and been running this new LayingSuperCrossMod - for a lack of better name - strategy on BoneTracker and have around 1500 rolls in... and changed my dice set 3-4 times so each setting has around 300-500 rolls on record - but what has been the most interesting is that so far it seems I always manage to end my sessions with a win... sometimes just a bit more than break even.. sometimes 2-3 x of buy in at which I stop.
I want to also start by saying I understand that the CASINO ALWAYS WINS - hahaha - and have a good grasp of the math / probability and house edge - thus I would like to have your input from the experts in this community to perhaps try this themselves and poke some holes in the theory to see what can perhaps be done to make it better or changes -- and if other people have the same results ?
LayingSuperCrossMod - Outline
On $15 Table - Buy in $750 - Current dice set (21 top/65 facing me - been my 4th change due to BoneTracker advice to work with my toss)
The theory of the strategy is to swop out Big Red as the boogieman for 4 instead since as everyone is aware the probability of 7 is 6/36 - 16.67% - and probability of 4 is 3/36 - 8.3% and easy 4 is only 5.5%
In order to hedge against the 7 - I Lay 4 with $200 (to pay $100 - vig) and to further hedge that lay - I place always working $30 on Hard 4 to bring only bad numbers down to 3:1 and 1:3.
This then gives me a hedge for $100 which is my initial betting spread.
COME OUT ROLL
- Lay 4 - $200
- HW4 - 30
- PASSLINE - $15
Use all 7 dice set and if manage a 7 - it gives $80 profit on roll - until setting a point
Once point is set - I use Iron cross - betting $15 Field / $15 nr 5 / $24 nr6 and $24 nr8 - which gives me exposure of $78 plus the $30 HW4 - so total $108 ... and if 7 comes a return of $95 (lay 4 200-vig%)
This leads me to have to roll 1-2 winning nrs before I turn positive - and at that stage I start pressing the Odds on passline
- next winning roll - take the profit and move the Field to place a uncovered nr 9 or 10
- and then keep rolling and pressing 2 nrs 1 unit each every roll and collecting winnings every 2nd roll
It is of course more of a grinding strategy - aimed to have a fun trip with longer playing time but also hoping to be lucky that if a Monster Roll comes you can profit big -- and if the table is cold - you stay alive and grind.
Now of course --- sounds great until the 4 comes - which it will... but with HW 4 covered in 30 --- that covers your Lay of 200 and pays 210 so even make a $10 profit - and its really only 3:1 and 1:3 that hurts you - but with a 5% probability - shouldn't ... and for me hasn't come up that much to kill me... of course if you hit it 2-3 times in start it hurts a lot but with 750 (maybe 1000 ? bankroll) you ride thru that and over time have many more other nrs hit than easy 4 ... and even tho you still hate Big Red - since you are ideally pressing and playing light side and hoping for monster rolls ---- when it does come.. you get your initial money back - plus whatever u made on that hand... and reload and Roll again...
And again that Lay 4 makes the come out roll 7 so much more exciting !
Sorry for the long post -- would really appreciate you experts to help by testing and poking holes in it .... and perhaps have some advice for 2 good dice sets.... a NO EASY 4 dice set to use whole play.... and an All 7 set to use when coming out to profit passline and Lay bet win.
Open for questions and appreciate all the comments, critique and advice !
Just hoping to learn as much as possible before 11 June !!
Kind Regards
DiceSki
