The Hidden Vig

Setting and influencing the dice roll is just part of the picture. To beat the dice you have to know how to bet the dice. Whether you call it a "system," a "strategy," or just a way to play - this is the place to discuss it.

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heavy
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The Hidden Vig

Post by heavy » Sat Dec 09, 2017 6:23 pm

Last week I bought an inexpensive used car from an individual to replace my daughter's car, which had been totaled in an accident. No, nobody was hurt - it was just an old car with damages that amounted to more than it was worth. We had around $4K to spend on a car, which meant I was not going to spend more than $3K on one. Why? Because I knew there was a hidden cost to buying a car from an individual - which was my plan. When you're buying a car for $3K there are several things you need to be aware of. First off, it's likely going to need a brake job and one or two tires. It may need a front end alignment and you'll certainly want to have a good detail job done on it. And, of course, I want to start out with clean oil so an oil change and lube is in the plans. Older used cars rarely come with both keys, and if it's a car that once had a key fob, you can count on them not having one. The car will have to pass the state's inspection - which in the case of this car meant new wiper blades and a replacement light bulb over the license plate holder. Then there's state tax and registration fees and title applications. Bottom line - when all of this reconditioning and registration is done and you are satisfied the car is road worthy for your kid - you're out an additional $600 - $1200. You're in that $3000 car for $4200. And that is why, when you walk into a used car dealership to buy a car that Kelly Blue Book says is worth $5500 - and the dealer has it listed for $7995 - you might blink and decide to shop elsewhere and buy from an individual. The individual doesn't have to do all of this reconditioning. He just sells you his old beater. A dealer is required to perform certain inspections and make sure the car meets certain safety standards before he can sell it. The dealer spends that $1200 - plus the $5000 he gave the previous owner on trade - and marks the car up $1795. He'll end up discounting the car to the customer $900 or so, leaving an $895 profit margin. Out of that he pays a sales person a commission of around $200. The finance manager and sales manager each get a piece of the profit amounting to another $200. That leaves the dealer $495, out of which he pays his office staff, his building rent, his light and phone bills, his IT bills, and his own salary. When it's all done he's lucky to have an extra $100 to roll into net net profits. Welcome to the car business boys and girls. That's the way it works. There's a hidden "cost" to buying at a retail outlet - but if you buy wholesale direct from an owner you ultimately STILL pay that hidden cost.

So where does that take us? Where else. Directly to the casino floor. I’m often amused by guys who complain about the vig on certain bets – yet they’re completely unaware of the hidden vig they’re paying every casino trip. What do I mean by “hidden vig?” Let me give you an example or two.

First let’s look at a guy we’ll call “Gus the Grinder.” Gus is a typical low limit Don’t player. He hits the casinos every Monday thru Thursday mornings and plays for three hours, then had a comped buffet with his wife and goes home for his afternoon nap. He buys in straight out on a $5 game for $200 – all red – then changes $20 in red chips for white. He charts religiously, picks his entry points, and has a 100% session win rate. His average win is around a $25 per session win. By picking his entry and exit points carefully he has managed to play for the last six years without a losing session - hence the 100% win ratio. Gus calculates his winnings at around $4800 a year. The house has almost no edge over his game, and his comps reflect it.

Gus’s wife, “Betty the Button Pusher,” on the other hand is a die-hard penny slot player. She accompanies him to the casino every day. If there’s a free tournament or the casino is offering bonus points for play she’s there with her butt on a slot stool. If there's no "free" or bonus play available she's feeding the machines with her Social Security income. If Gus ever complains about her slot play she reminds him that he’s betting a minimum of $5 on that damned craps game, and she’s only playing pennies. Her favorite machine is an IGT nine liner with a fifty cent max coin per line limit. She always plays max coin – at $4.50 a pull. The game is on a carousel that advertises “up to 95% payback” on this carousel. She’s hitting the spin button on average ten times a minute – or 100 spins per hour. That’s 300 spins per session, which translates to running $1350 through the machine in three hours.

Gus the Grinder has a theoretical loss of around $4.20 per session. Betty the Button Pusher has a theoretical loss of $67.50 for the same three hours. Her actual loss is much more than that because she has limited funds to bet and cannot lose more than the $800 week she brings to the tables. Betty has no problem getting a copy for two Senior Citizen lunch buffets. Gus thinks that free lunch is about the best thing he ever ate. The casino’s buffet restaurant, by the way, has about $2 worth of food and personnel costs invested in each of those plates of meat loaf, green beans, and mac and cheese.

So what’s the hidden vig in this example? Sorry, guys, but the bride is costing you money every time you take her with you to the casino. She – and her slot play – are the hidden vig. It's not unlike the reconditioning expense on a used car. If it has tits or tires it's going to cost you money.
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Bankerdude80
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Re: The Hidden Vig

Post by Bankerdude80 » Sat Dec 09, 2017 7:39 pm

The hidden vig can also apply to the same person if they play different casino games where any edge they have on one game may not be replicated on another. For net positive players, the real hidden vig is the taxman come April 15th (at least here in the States).
"Take the Money and Run...."
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ro11player
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Re: The Hidden Vig

Post by ro11player » Sat Dec 09, 2017 8:07 pm

If it has tits or tires it's going to cost you money.
If you're a normal guy this is so funny .... (but true) :lol:

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mssthis1
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Re: The Hidden Vig

Post by mssthis1 » Sat Dec 09, 2017 8:21 pm

I used to have that problem but she decided a drunk with a Harley was a better gig than me. I traded her in for a model who plays blackjack instead of slots and doesn't skim money off the top. It's a very rare occasion now that we both lose money on the same day.

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London Shooter
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Re: The Hidden Vig

Post by London Shooter » Sun Dec 10, 2017 8:51 am

I guess there are two ways of looking further at this hidden vig:

1. The overall cost of the casino trip may be a lot more - petrol (gas) cost to get there and back, extra food and drinks along the way. Waitress/dealer tips during play.

2. Alternatively, would the husband and wife be doing something else for their "entertainment" ? A meal out/night at the movies/show/gig - that's all a pretty significant cost these days just for a basic evening out. The casino trip in comparison my not be that bad - might even be less expensive.

Moe Bettor
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Re: The Hidden Vig

Post by Moe Bettor » Sun Dec 10, 2017 9:14 am

And you might just buy a car that's been under water in Houston. I once bought a car when I was hitch hiking..cost me $50 outside of Reno. It went 50 miles and the engine exploded. A buck a mile..not bad.

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Re: The Hidden Vig

Post by Operator » Sun Dec 10, 2017 2:31 pm

I love this most people don't compare or think of gas room food lets do a compassion.
Deer hunting one four wheel drive vechicle that's 40000 one atv got to drag that deer out of the woods that's 2500 good cheap gun that's 700 one scope that's 400 ammo lets go cheap 100 bucks .clothes don't want to get cold 400 .So that's 44100 not bad that truck might last 10 years.
Now tell people your headed for the casino with a 1000 bucks every 3 months and they look at you like your crazy.They think your going to lose it all every time.
Lets go city boy lets go to the gun range yearly fee 250 bucks One ar- 15= 1600; mags and mods and vivkers combat sling one scope one sideway mount in case you want to do three gun that added 1000 to the gun lets not forget side arms need at lest two glocks adds 1500. Pretty cheap huh lets go to the range now. ok that's just a one time fee of 4350' headed for the range and burn threw 200 dollars of ammo in one hour go twice a month and your down 400 a month plus 100 gas you never get this money back.
Call me crazy but I think gambling on either 500 a trip or 1000 and playing ping pong with the casino back and forth is cheaper ???

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heavy
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Re: The Hidden Vig

Post by heavy » Sun Dec 10, 2017 3:15 pm

Yeah, I tell that same story, Operator, except my example is a pal of mine that's a bass fishing enthusiast. The idiot has a quarter million dollars tied up in bass fishing - but nobody says he's got a "fishing problem." Lose a hundred bucks at the casino and your friends will say you have a gambling problem. LOL.

London Shooter - you just gave away part II of the Hidden Vig article, which is on the incidental expenses surrounding a casino trip. Yeah, it adds up.

Great points all.
"Get in, get up, and get gone."
- Heavy

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London Shooter
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Re: The Hidden Vig

Post by London Shooter » Sun Dec 10, 2017 3:20 pm

Sorry for the spoiler H :)

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mssthis1
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Re: The Hidden Vig

Post by mssthis1 » Sun Dec 10, 2017 3:58 pm

I agree with Operator. Especially on what they call hunting these days. I grew up eating squirrel and rabbit because the only meat we had besides the pork we raised, we shot.

The local market runs a special every month or so where you can get a whole boneless rib cut into ribeyes or a short loin cut into T-Bones and porterhouses for $4.99 to $5.99 a pound. That is where I hunt these days. Having the knowledge that I can live off the land if I have to is good enough for me.

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Bankerdude80
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Re: The Hidden Vig

Post by Bankerdude80 » Sun Dec 10, 2017 8:40 pm

mssthis1 wrote: Sun Dec 10, 2017 3:58 pm I grew up eating squirrel and rabbit because the only meat we had besides the pork we raised, we shot.
There's always room for God's creatures, especially next to the mashed potatoes.
"Take the Money and Run...."
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mssthis1
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Re: The Hidden Vig

Post by mssthis1 » Mon Dec 11, 2017 8:59 am

Bankerdude80 wrote: Sun Dec 10, 2017 8:40 pm
mssthis1 wrote: Sun Dec 10, 2017 3:58 pm I grew up eating squirrel and rabbit because the only meat we had besides the pork we raised, we shot.
There's always room for God's creatures, especially next to the mashed potatoes.

Yep. The wife makes the best pressure cooked pot roast and mashed potatoes that I've ever had in my life.


I enjoy hunting but I'm more of a grab a gun and start walking type of hunter. I don't see the thrill in getting up at 4 am to set in a deer stand waiting for the deer you've been feeding mineral blocks and corn all year to show up so you can shoot him.

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mssthis1
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Re: The Hidden Vig

Post by mssthis1 » Mon Dec 11, 2017 9:00 am

bankerdude. Are you away from the fires? I can't remember if you live in AZ or CA.

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Re: The Hidden Vig

Post by Bankerdude80 » Mon Dec 11, 2017 6:43 pm

mssthis1 wrote: Mon Dec 11, 2017 9:00 am bankerdude. Are you away from the fires? I can't remember if you live in AZ or CA.
I'm in AZ, so I am away from the fires. We get a few up North every now and then. Also, they made a movie with Josh Brolin about the Yarnell Fire which took the lives of several hotshot firefighters several years ago. Not something I'd want to be near in any event.
"Take the Money and Run...."
- Steve Miller Band

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