Heavy's Axis Power Craps Forum

You make a very good point about playing the Don'ts--MP wrote another article... I can't remember the title or topic but it offered a pointed 'contrarian' thought--that when the 7 comes, the Don't play counts his winnings by ADDING his bets to the payoff, where the PL bettor subtracts ALL his bets ...

MP wrote an article "Will winning 50% of your Passline Points make you rich or... stinking rich ?" .. Very good read btw. Hi Bry, Yeah, that particular piece was part of my How an SRR-6.5 Shooter Can Double and Then Keep Re-Doubling his $1000 Bankroll…With Virtually NO Risk-of-Ruin series...

Hi Darth, I have quite a body of A-T-S content over on the Dice Institute message-board; but the essence of it really boils down to what I posted in the second entry in this thread. Most everyone here usually likes the bumpersticker-length lessons and aren't at all interested in knowing how the sau...

Hi Dork, It turns out that the Wizard's " Bonus Round " dealer-toking discussion took place over on his WIZARD Checks In blog on the Dice Institute message-board. Let me try to summarize it: ~He often uses a 4-step regression on his Place 6-&-8 bets when he is shooting. ~When he works...

Hi Pointman, When I mentioned our departed member, W7, using a similar approach; I wasn't trying to apportion credit, but rather simply point out that the two of you found a similar way to beat California Craps. I like the fact that you chose to share an advantage-play angle with fellow board-membe...

If I recall correctly, the now-deceased board-member " W7 " wrote extensively about beating that specific game for several months in a row, until he had a bad encounter with a ne' er do well out in the parking lot. Apparently a bad guy brandished a gun, then Jim brandished a much bigger g...

Hi Dork, I'll start off by reiterating my suggestions from the " ATS " thread: For random -betting, ANY money on the A-T-S wager is a sucker's bet; but for a skilled-shooter , it can be quite effective . To my thinking though, the bet-weight pyramid for the ATS wager should be INVERTED in...

Hi Dork, For random -betting, ANY money on the A-T-S wager is a sucker's bet; but for a skilled-shooter , it can be quite effective . To my thinking though, the bet-weight pyramid for the ATS wager should be INVERTED in a similar fashion to H's $2-$1-$2 outlay. In fact, I like an even steeper inver...

Here are the stats for the last few books of exponential odds wargaming Book 10 - srr 6.00 starting br $9644, ending br $9786. Won $142. Book 11 srr- 6.49 start br $9786 ending br $8844. Lost $942. Interesting, this is the first case of a decent srr resulting in a loser with EO. I had 2 hands of 20...

One question I have for the experts is about how "cumulative probability" relates to this and other regression plays. My thinking is that since most hands are short I give myself a chance to win by placing a lot of numbers early and then regressing both the amount of numbers and the size ...

After playing this for a while, it's becoming clear to me why casinos don't generally offer 100x odds. They can really get dinged when an adequately BR'ed player steps up with big units in time for a 50 roll hand or such. Kabooom! I wanna be that guy. Just as most players don't like all of that ick...

2 343 2.75% 3 690 5.53% 4 1030 8.26% 5 1403 11.25% 6 1772 14.21% 7 2162 17.34% 8 1804 14.47% 9 1303 10.45% 10 966 7.75% 11 682 5.47% 12 316 2.53% Hi Freak, I ran your roll-stats through my Veg-a-Matic (otherwise known as the DiceTool Plus component of BoneTracker ). Here is what they showed: Wager…...

Nice effort, Americraps, It would be interesting to look at this one from a dollars-invested/dollars-earned basis, as well as the drawdown-spikes it incurs along the way to making its profit...and of course the bankroll required to play it. IIRC, RappingCaptain was using a $50,000 trip-bankroll, wi...

If your bankroll could handle table max betting, would that change your strategy any from what your doing now?? Nope, not at all, not even one little bit. The idea behind advantage-play dice-influencing is to put your money where your over-arching DI advantage IS , and to keep it away from all bets...

Hi lojackd, What I am saying is that if your 7-Out predictive powers are so uncannily accurate; then why putz around red-chipping it with your first Grand Martingale bet set at only $5? Why not start at $25 or even $50? Here's the thing: ~If it works, then ride that bitch like you mean it, hellbent...

Hi lojackd, If, as you say, the dice are more likely to show a 7 on the roll immediately following a dice-off-the-table call; does that apply to the Come-out cycle too? ~If so, wouldn't it make sense to make a huge wager on the Passline ...hoping/anticipating that the very next roll will be a winne...

Hi Dork, Here's the last part of that counter-point: Turning 'Trash' Into Treasure Part Two Are Advantage-Play Prop-bets an Oxymoron? "If one or more of your most dominant point-cycle Signature Numbers are "Trash" (2, 3, 11, or 12); should you ignore them completely…or make an occasi...

Hi Dork, Now let me offer a valid counter-point to what I just posted above: Turning ' Trash ' Into Treasure An abundance of point-cycle craps numbers (2, 3, 11, and 12) pose an interesting predicament for the skilled shooter. ~ Do we ignore the 'trash' and continue shooting for the box-numbers tha...