Search found 737 matches
- Thu May 24, 2018 2:45 pm
- Forum: Games Other Than Craps
- Topic: Pai Gow Poker
- Replies: 13
- Views: 16575
Re: Pai Gow Poker
I read an interesting comment on the game on wizard of odds recently where it was stated that if you have a long session playing Pai Gow, given the low volatility of the game, it's really difficult to come out ahead. Mostly it really is a rent a chair, have a drink and probably pay a few dollars for...
- Sun May 20, 2018 12:57 pm
- Forum: Betting Systems and Strategies for Casino Craps
- Topic: Law of Large Numbers, Variance, bet size/frequency
- Replies: 19
- Views: 17288
Re: Law of Large Numbers, Variance, bet size/frequency
I just tried the play on Wincraps and got handed my virtual ass with a bunch of PSOs and PPSOs. It's an interesting kind of play, as many are, but as with any system on the craps table NOTHING is beating the random game.
- Thu May 17, 2018 4:54 pm
- Forum: Betting Systems and Strategies for Casino Craps
- Topic: Law of Large Numbers, Variance, bet size/frequency
- Replies: 19
- Views: 17288
Re: Law of Large Numbers, Variance, bet size/frequency
That's your edge - some kind of influence. People are not beating the random game through bankroll size, money management, MP204, missing numbers, due numbers, "bets off" at any kind of happening around the table or its immediate environs, or whatever other flavour of voodoo is most preval...
- Tue May 15, 2018 5:52 am
- Forum: Games Other Than Craps
- Topic: Supreme Court Opens Way for States to Legalize Sports Betting
- Replies: 14
- Views: 12879
Re: Supreme Court Opens Way for States to Legalize Sports Betting
Good to see the other side of the pond getting one step closer to 21st century sports betting.
- Fri May 04, 2018 6:20 am
- Forum: Betting Systems and Strategies for Casino Craps
- Topic: Comparative Strategy Analysis
- Replies: 149
- Views: 117376
Re: Comparative Strategy Analysis
Right place at the right time is the exact phrase I would choose too. It's just luck - bumping into positive variance and if you catch the action on a hot hand you'll remember it a lot more than being in the wrong place at the wrong time which is a much more common result. Of course this "magic...
- Wed May 02, 2018 1:36 pm
- Forum: Heavy's Wrong Way Craps
- Topic: My Darkside Strategy for the past few weeks
- Replies: 6
- Views: 7315
Re: My Darkside Strategy for the past few weeks
KC, if you've read any of my comments on this type of don't side play you'll know whats coming :) Any 7 and hardways to hedge your don'ts - how scared are you exactly about your exposure on the come out and on losing a DP once the point is established? In trying to "minismise the amount I could...
- Mon Apr 30, 2018 12:26 pm
- Forum: Betting Systems and Strategies for Casino Craps
- Topic: Comparative Strategy Analysis
- Replies: 149
- Views: 117376
Re: Comparative Strategy Analysis
Ha, ha Irish mentions flat betting and uses it the same way I would - as in same bet - but don't tell Heavy :) Boring but as a baseline it's going to out-perform almost all other strategies no matter how fancy they are. What about doing 88 inside and just same betting it? Hopefully you are in MS whe...
- Sun Apr 29, 2018 7:16 am
- Forum: Games Other Than Craps
- Topic: A Negative Progression Baccarat Study/Strategy
- Replies: 249
- Views: 657419
Re: A Negative Progression Baccarat Study/Strategy
Yes OK I won't get into discussions about silver, stock markets or whatever which is in no way comparative to a casino market. Anybody should be able to make money in commodities and shares which give you prices on average that appreciate over time. They are not by default a negative expectation game.
- Sun Apr 29, 2018 2:08 am
- Forum: Heavy's Wrong Way Craps
- Topic: Let's Build a DON'T Strategy from the Ground Up
- Replies: 25
- Views: 22544
Re: Let's Build a DON'T Strategy from the Ground Up
My fundamental view in this is easy: build whatever strategy you want from the don'ts but if you start having to hedge your DPs and DCs right from the off, the strategy is instantly flawed.
- Sun Apr 29, 2018 2:00 am
- Forum: Games Other Than Craps
- Topic: A Negative Progression Baccarat Study/Strategy
- Replies: 249
- Views: 657419
Re: A Negative Progression Baccarat Study/Strategy
Come on Jamie just post your system on here. The casino aren't frightened. There is no betting system that can beat a negative expectation game. You are just rearranging win and loss deckchairs on a virtual Titanic-like deck before the good ship Bankroll goes down.
- Wed Apr 25, 2018 2:10 am
- Forum: Betting Systems and Strategies for Casino Craps
- Topic: The Soyonara Bet
- Replies: 25
- Views: 21718
Re: The Soyonara Bet
On reading this again, in the context of a $200 win goal, no way would I be betting $60 as a "see ya and goodnight" play. That $60 is 30% of the way to my win goal next time, so I could easily say next time I play I'm looking to be only $140 up, then I have made two win goals in two sessio...
- Tue Apr 24, 2018 9:58 am
- Forum: Betting Systems and Strategies for Casino Craps
- Topic: The Soyonara Bet
- Replies: 25
- Views: 21718
Re: The Soyonara Bet
I have often done soyonara bets but for much smaller amounts and to me the soyonara bet is after colour up, otherwise it is too tempting to carry on, win or lose and it is just becomes a bonjour bet instead. For me, it's loose change on some hardways for myself and the crew. Look to be aggressive wi...
- Fri Apr 20, 2018 5:30 pm
- Forum: Betting Systems and Strategies for Casino Craps
- Topic: Comparative Strategy Analysis
- Replies: 149
- Views: 117376
Re: Comparative Strategy Analysis
22i - for you if you haven't read this.
- Fri Apr 20, 2018 5:29 pm
- Forum: Betting Systems and Strategies for Casino Craps
- Topic: Best Bet to win $100
- Replies: 36
- Views: 34484
Re: Best Bet to win $100
Ace High concluded SRR to breakeven on his 280 was 6.257 which was same figure as MP204, but he reckoned 280 out performed 204 for a DI with good SRR, though comparison was not apples to apples given different betting amounts and regressions/Presses What was also interesting was that house edge per ...
- Fri Apr 20, 2018 5:23 pm
- Forum: Betting Systems and Strategies for Casino Craps
- Topic: Best Bet to win $100
- Replies: 36
- Views: 34484
Re: Best Bet to win $100
$4 ACE-DEUCE
$35 4
$45 5
$54 6
$54 8
$45 9
$35 10
$4 YO
$2 MIDNIGHT
2 + 4 + 35 + 45 + 54 + 54 + 45 + 35 + 4 + 2 = 280
It's detailed in comparative strategy analysis thread which H bumped recently.
Good discussion of AH280 v MP204 v Buy 4 & 10
$35 4
$45 5
$54 6
$54 8
$45 9
$35 10
$4 YO
$2 MIDNIGHT
2 + 4 + 35 + 45 + 54 + 54 + 45 + 35 + 4 + 2 = 280
It's detailed in comparative strategy analysis thread which H bumped recently.
Good discussion of AH280 v MP204 v Buy 4 & 10
- Thu Apr 19, 2018 6:09 pm
- Forum: Betting Systems and Strategies for Casino Craps
- Topic: Best Bet to win $100
- Replies: 36
- Views: 34484
Re: Best Bet to win $100
Ahigh's 280 play on myself or a known DI.
It was new to me recently but essentially all numbers covered to win 50 per hit. Two hits and down and off for a happy finish, or alternatively a DIY job if it goes tits up .
Either way you know your fate very quickly.
It was new to me recently but essentially all numbers covered to win 50 per hit. Two hits and down and off for a happy finish, or alternatively a DIY job if it goes tits up .
Either way you know your fate very quickly.
- Tue Apr 10, 2018 3:01 am
- Forum: Heavy's Wrong Way Craps
- Topic: Running a Progression for 7's on the hop for D-Side shooter?
- Replies: 18
- Views: 19399
Re: Running a Progression for 7's on the hop for D-Side shooter?
No topic on progressions involving hops is worth checking out.
I'd rather play 0000 roulette (probably coming to the Venetian soon ) if I wanted to give the house a continual double digit house edge go at my bankroll.
I'd rather play 0000 roulette (probably coming to the Venetian soon ) if I wanted to give the house a continual double digit house edge go at my bankroll.
- Sun Apr 08, 2018 1:00 pm
- Forum: Betting Systems and Strategies for Casino Craps
- Topic: How do YOU handle the Five and Nine?
- Replies: 39
- Views: 32121
Re: How do YOU handle the Five and Nine?
PL definitely. I think a lot of players don't realise that you can play the game without a PL bet. It's an automatic reaction for almost everybody to get that $5 or $10 bet down after each 7 out.
- Sun Apr 08, 2018 5:16 am
- Forum: Betting Systems and Strategies for Casino Craps
- Topic: Comparative Strategy Analysis
- Replies: 149
- Views: 117376
Re: Comparative Strategy Analysis
Some great stuff in here. Love the analysis of the MP204 v the AH280, even if not comparing apples with apples. Also the view that SRR of 6.25 is the breakeven point for either of the above. Finally, the fact we should all know, yet some still seek to not believe - if you are playing the random game...
- Thu Apr 05, 2018 10:55 pm
- Forum: Betting Systems and Strategies for Casino Craps
- Topic: "The Great Math Mystery"
- Replies: 36
- Views: 32040
Re: "The Great Math Mystery"
I'm with Irish fully on this. Nobody can use maths to prove any system/strategy/whatever has an edge over the game of craps. The game is based on short pays for each bet, even an odds bet needs an initial bet on which true value isn't paid. No voodoo is over coming these short pays long term. It sim...